ClimateSearch

Mbarara, Western Region

Uganda · 221k people · 1429 m elevation · Southern Hemisphere

Every month in detail

Thirty-year averages for each calendar month.

Monthly climate normals. Values shown as an em dash are missing from the source data.
MonthJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Average high83°F (28°C)83°F (29°C)82°F (28°C)80°F (27°C)82°F (28°C)83°F (28°C)84°F (29°C)82°F (28°C)81°F (27°C)80°F (27°C)80°F (27°C)81°F (27°C)
Average low60°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)60°F (16°C)60°F (15°C)61°F (16°C)60°F (16°C)60°F (16°C)60°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)
Dew point58°F (15°C)58°F (15°C)60°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)57°F (14°C)54°F (12°C)57°F (14°C)59°F (15°C)60°F (16°C)61°F (16°C)60°F (16°C)
Rainfall1.5 in (39 mm)1.4 in (37 mm)2.7 in (68 mm)4 in (101 mm)2.1 in (54 mm)0.8 in (21 mm)0.6 in (14 mm)2.3 in (58 mm)3.1 in (78 mm)4 in (101 mm)3.9 in (100 mm)2.5 in (65 mm)
Rainy days6581374281014149
Snowfall0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)
Sunshine203 h184 h189 h174 h202 h200 h206 h206 h199 h176 h164 h199 h

Scroll the table sideways for all twelve months.

Projected change, 2031–2050

Model projection, not an observation

How this city’s climate may change, measured against the same models’ own 1995–2014 output. Nothing here affects the match score above.

Change in summer afternoon highs

+0.9°F (+0.5°C)

Models range from +0.1°F (+0.0°C) to +1.5°F (+0.8°C)

Days above 90°F (32°C) a year

—

Too few hot days today to project a reliable change

Warming by month
  • January: +0.7°F (+0.4°C)
  • February: +1.1°F (+0.6°C)
  • March: +1.4°F (+0.8°C)
  • April: +2.0°F (+1.1°C)
  • May: +2.2°F (+1.2°C)
  • June: +1.9°F (+1.1°C)
  • July: +1.9°F (+1.1°C)
  • August: +1.8°F (+1.0°C)
  • September: +1.6°F (+0.9°C)
  • October: +1.2°F (+0.7°C)
  • November: +1.0°F (+0.6°C)
  • December: +0.9°F (+0.5°C)
Scenario
SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)
Models
4 · CMIP6 HighResMIP, downscaled

This is a high-emissions pathway — the upper end of plausible futures, not a central estimate. Changes are measured by each model against its own past output and then applied to the observed record, which cancels each model’s bias but not the genuine uncertainty about how much warming occurs. Where the models disagree widely, the range above is the honest answer.