ClimateSearch

Toluca, México

Mexico · 489k people · 2663 m elevation · Northern Hemisphere

Every month in detail

Thirty-year averages for each calendar month.

Monthly climate normals. Values shown as an em dash are missing from the source data.
MonthJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Average high64°F (18°C)67°F (19°C)70°F (21°C)72°F (22°C)71°F (22°C)68°F (20°C)65°F (19°C)65°F (19°C)65°F (18°C)65°F (18°C)64°F (18°C)64°F (18°C)
Average low42°F (6°C)44°F (7°C)46°F (8°C)49°F (9°C)49°F (10°C)50°F (10°C)49°F (10°C)49°F (10°C)49°F (10°C)47°F (8°C)44°F (7°C)43°F (6°C)
Dew point36°F (2°C)36°F (2°C)35°F (2°C)37°F (3°C)44°F (7°C)49°F (10°C)50°F (10°C)51°F (10°C)50°F (10°C)47°F (8°C)43°F (6°C)38°F (4°C)
Rainfall1 in (26 mm)0.9 in (24 mm)1.1 in (28 mm)1.8 in (45 mm)4.4 in (111 mm)7.8 in (199 mm)9.3 in (235 mm)8.8 in (222 mm)7.6 in (193 mm)3.8 in (96 mm)1.3 in (33 mm)0.6 in (15 mm)
Rainy days556916212626221463
Snowfall0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0.1 in (0.2 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)0 in (0 cm)
Sunshine316 h309 h357 h360 h372 h308 h304 h304 h275 h309 h315 h326 h

Scroll the table sideways for all twelve months.

Projected change, 2031–2050

Model projection, not an observation

How this city’s climate may change, measured against the same models’ own 1995–2014 output. Nothing here affects the match score above.

Change in summer afternoon highs

+2.7°F (+1.5°C)

Models range from +2.3°F (+1.3°C) to +2.9°F (+1.6°C)

Days above 90°F (32°C) a year

0 0

Warming by month
  • January: +2.9°F (+1.6°C)
  • February: +2.7°F (+1.5°C)
  • March: +2.4°F (+1.3°C)
  • April: +2.9°F (+1.6°C)
  • May: +3.2°F (+1.8°C)
  • June: +3.0°F (+1.7°C)
  • July: +2.5°F (+1.4°C)
  • August: +2.4°F (+1.4°C)
  • September: +2.3°F (+1.3°C)
  • October: +1.5°F (+0.9°C)
  • November: +2.1°F (+1.2°C)
  • December: +2.7°F (+1.5°C)
Scenario
SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)
Models
4 · CMIP6 HighResMIP, downscaled

This is a high-emissions pathway — the upper end of plausible futures, not a central estimate. Changes are measured by each model against its own past output and then applied to the observed record, which cancels each model’s bias but not the genuine uncertainty about how much warming occurs. Where the models disagree widely, the range above is the honest answer.